PATHWAYS TO A CANCER-FREE FUTURE: A PROTOCOL FOR MODELLED EVALUATIONS TO MINIMISE THE FUTURE BURDEN OF COLORECTAL CANCER IN AUSTRALIA

Pathways to a cancer-free future: a protocol for modelled evaluations to minimise the future burden of colorectal cancer in Australia

Pathways to a cancer-free future: a protocol for modelled evaluations to minimise the future burden of colorectal cancer in Australia

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Introduction With almost 50% of cases preventable and the Australian National Bowel Cancer Screening Program in place, colorectal cancer (CRC) is a prime candidate for investment to reduce the cancer burden.The challenge is determining effective ways to reduce morbidity and mortality and their implementation through policy and practice.Pathways-Bowel is a multistage programme that aims to identify best-value investment in CRC control by integrating expert and end-user engagement; relevant evidence; modelled interventions to guide future investment; and policy-driven implementation of interventions using evidence-based methods.

Methods and analysis Pathways-Bowel is an iterative work programme incorporating a calibrated and validated CRC natural history model for Australia (Policy1-Bowel) and assessing the health and cost outcomes and resource use of targeted interventions.Experts help identify and prioritise modelled evaluations jouer soft focus hydrate & setting powder of changing trends and interventions and critically assess results to advise on their real-world applicability.Where appropriate the results are used to support public policy change and make the case for optimal investment in specific CRC control interventions.

Fourteen high-priority evaluations have been modelled or planned, including evaluations of CRC outcomes from the changing prevalence of modifiable exposures, including smoking and body fatness; potential benefits of daily aspirin intake as chemoprevention; increasing CRC incidence in people aged <50 years; increasing screening participation in the general and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander populations; alternative screening technologies and modalities; and changes to follow-up surveillance protocols.Pathways-Bowel is a unique, comprehensive approach to evaluating CRC control; no prior body of work has assessed the relative benefits of a variety of interventions across CRC development and progression fr6738 to produce a list of best-value investments.Ethics and dissemination Ethics approval was not required as human participants were not involved.

Findings are reported in a series of papers in peer-reviewed journals and presented at fora to engage the community and policymakers.

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